Elon Musk may be busy celebrating the historic upright landing of his SpaceX ventureâs Falcon rocket this week, but the billionaire entrepreneur has plenty of other futuristic visions on his mind. One of them is the autonomous driving technology he hopes to offer through his Tesla Motors marque.
Just months after launching the carmakerâs openly experimental Autopilot system, Musk has spoken again of his predictions for the onset of driverless technology.
Late in 2014, Musk said that he expects highly autonomous vehicles far safer than human drivers to be ready for market by 2020 â" a sentiment shared by many carmakers developing driverless technology.
This week, however, Musk told business magazine Fortune that Tesla is making even greater progress in its development of autonomous driving systems.
âI think we have all the pieces, and itâs just about refining those pieces, putting them in place, and making sure they work across a huge number of environments â" and then weâre done,â Musk told Fortune.
Sounds simple, doesnât it? But, as many CarAdvice readers have noted, there are thousands of situations that a driverless vehicle must be taught to anticipate and respond to â" and many are not convinced that a computer will ever be able to predict a potential accident as well as a human.
Musk isnât unaware. âThe data is not yet there to support a fully autonomous vehicle,â he said.
âThe point at which it becomes statistically clear that an autonomous car is safer, I think, regulators will be comfortable with allowing it.â
Just as there are thousands of situations both known and unforeseen that an autonomous vehicle must be able to deal with, Musk says there are âthousands of peopleâ working on the technology.
Musk wouldnât be moved to discuss the next generation of Teslaâs Autopilot system, however. That âwould be a major announcementâ for another time.
In March, Musk told an audience at the South by Southwest (SXSW) technology and culture conference that he foresees a future where humans may be banned almost entirely from driving â" although heâs not personally looking forward to it.
âTo be clear, Tesla is strongly in favor of people being allowed to drive their cars and always will be. Hopefully, that is obvious. However, when self-driving cars become safer than human-driven cars, the public may outlaw the latter. Hopefully not.â
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